Liu · Lancet (London, England) 2006 · individual participant data meta-analysis · n=1549

Rate, extent, and modifiers of spermatogenic recovery after hormonal male contraception: an integrated analysis.

Cited 270 times in the scientific literature.

Level 1 - systematic review of randomized trials

Individual participant data meta-analysis of 30 prospective clinical studies

PubMed 16650651 · doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(06)68614-5 · record verified 2026-08-27

What was done

An integrated multivariate time-to-event analysis was conducted on individual participant data from 30 prospective studies published between 1990 and 2005 evaluating androgen or androgen-progestagen regimens for male contraception. The cohort included 1,549 healthy eugonadal men aged 18–51 years (965 White, 535 Asian, 49 other origins) accounting for 1,283.5 man-years of treatment and 705 man-years of post-treatment recovery. Monthly sperm concentrations were monitored until recovery. The primary outcome was time to achieve a sperm concentration of 20 million per mL, analyzed with Kaplan-Meier and Cox multivariate models.

What was found

Median times to recover to sperm concentrations of 20, 10, and 3 million per mL were 3.4 months (95% CI 3.2–3.5), 3.0 months (95% CI 2.9–3.1), and 2.5 months (95% CI 2.4–2.7), respectively. The probability of recovery to 20 million per mL was 67% (95% CI 61–72) by 6 months, 90% (85–93) by 12 months, 96% (92–98) by 16 months, and 100% by 24 months. Multivariate analysis identified faster recovery with older age, Asian ethnicity, shorter treatment duration, shorter-acting testosterone formulations, higher baseline sperm concentration, faster suppression, and lower baseline luteinising hormone.

Why it matters

This analysis confirms that spermatogenesis suppression from male hormonal contraception is fully reversible in 100% of participants within a predictable timeframe, addressing a fundamental safety question for contraceptive development.

Limits

The primary outcome relied on a surrogate threshold of sperm concentration (20 million/mL) rather than confirmed pregnancy or live birth rates. Ethnic diversity was limited mainly to White and Chinese men, and regimens varied across the 30 source studies.

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