Nathan · Diabetes care 2008 · multicenter prospective observational study · n=507

Translating the A1C assay into estimated average glucose values.

Cited 1844 times in the scientific literature.

Level 3 - non-randomized controlled study

Prospective multicenter observational calibration cohort study

PubMed 18540046 · doi:10.2337/dc08-0545 · record verified 2026-08-30

What was done

A multicenter study across 10 international centers evaluated 507 subjects (268 with type 1 diabetes, 159 with type 2 diabetes, and 80 nondiabetic controls) over 3 months. Average glucose (AG) was derived from approximately 2,700 glucose values per subject by combining continuous glucose monitoring (at least 2 days, repeated 4 times) with 7-point fingerstick self-monitoring (at least 3 days per week). A1C was measured at a central laboratory at the end of the 3-month period and compared with AG using linear regression.

What was found

Linear regression revealed a tight relationship between A1C and AG: AG (mg/dL) = 28.7 × A1C − 46.7 (R² = 0.84, P < 0.0001). The regression equations did not differ significantly across subgroups defined by age, sex, diabetes type, race/ethnicity, or smoking status.

Why it matters

This study established the standardized mathematical formula used internationally to convert laboratory HbA1c values into estimated average glucose (eAG), presenting chronic glycemia in the same units used for daily self-monitoring.

Limits

The linear model leaves 16% of variance unexplained (R² = 0.84), reflecting biological variation in glycation rates and red cell lifespan. The abstract does not provide prediction intervals for individuals, nor does it address populations with hemoglobinopathies, anemia, or kidney disease.

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