Kotter-Grühn · Psychology and aging 2009 · prospective cohort study · n=439

Self-perceptions of aging predict mortality and change with approaching death: 16-year longitudinal results from the Berlin Aging Study.

Cited 353 times in the scientific literature.

Level 3 - non-randomized controlled study

Prospective longitudinal cohort study

PubMed 19739922 · doi:10.1037/a0016510 · record verified 2026-08-26

What was done

Using 16-year longitudinal data from 439 participants aged 70 to 100 years in the Berlin Aging Study, researchers analyzed how self-perceptions of aging (satisfaction with aging and subjective age) changed with chronological age and distance to death. They examined whether baseline levels and trajectory patterns of these perceptions predicted mortality hazard after controlling for age, gender, socioeconomic status, dementia diagnosis, and number of illnesses.

What was found

Higher aging satisfaction, younger subjective age, and more favorable change patterns (e.g., less decline in aging satisfaction) were uniquely associated with lower mortality hazards after adjusting for demographic and health covariates. As participants approached death, aging satisfaction declined and they reported feeling older. For aging satisfaction, mortality-related decline was steeper than age-related decline, whereas subjective age change was primarily an age-related process. The abstract reports no numerical effect sizes or risk ratios.

Why it matters

This study shows that self-perceptions of aging are dynamic processes linked to survival and proximity to death rather than static psychological traits, remaining predictive of mortality even after adjusting for major objective health indicators.

Limits

The abstract reports no numerical values, effect sizes, or confidence intervals. The observational design cannot establish causality, and findings from this specific cohort of older adults aged 70–100 may not generalize to younger populations or other cultural contexts.

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