Carroll · JAMA 2012 · repeated cross-sectional survey · n=37,810

Trends in lipids and lipoproteins in US adults, 1988-2010.

Cited 285 times in the scientific literature.

Level 4 - case-series / case-control

Serial cross-sectional population surveys

PubMed 23073951 · doi:10.1001/jama.2012.13260 · record verified 2026-08-30

What was done

Data from three cross-sectional cycles of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) were analyzed to track trends in lipid levels and medication use among US adults: 1988–1994 (n = 16,573), 1999–2002 (n = 9,471), and 2007–2010 (n = 11,766). Measured outcomes included mean total cholesterol (TC), LDL-C, HDL-C, non-HDL-C, geometric mean triglycerides, and the prevalence of lipid-lowering medication use.

What was found

From 1988–1994 to 2007–2010, mean TC decreased from 206 mg/dL (95% CI, 205–207) to 196 mg/dL (95% CI, 195–198; P < .001), LDL-C decreased from 129 mg/dL (95% CI, 127–130) to 116 mg/dL (95% CI, 114–117; P < .001), and non-HDL-C decreased from 155 mg/dL (95% CI, 153–157) to 144 mg/dL (95% CI, 143–145; P < .001). Mean HDL-C increased from 50.7 mg/dL (95% CI, 50.0–51.0) to 52.5 mg/dL (95% CI, 51.8–53.2; P = .001). Geometric mean triglycerides rose from 118 mg/dL (95% CI, 114–121) in 1988–1994 to 123 mg/dL (95% CI, 119–127) in 1999–2002 before falling to 110 mg/dL (95% CI, 107–113) in 2007–2010 (P < .001 for quadratic trend). Lipid-lowering medication use increased from 3.4% (95% CI, 2.9%–3.9%) to 15.5% (95% CI, 14.7%–16.3%; P < .001). Similar lipid improvements occurred among adults not taking lipid-lowering medications and among obese adults.

Why it matters

This study documents substantial population-wide improvements in cardiovascular lipid profiles over two decades in the US, driven both by increased statin/medication use and concurrent secular trends among untreated individuals.

Limits

The repeated cross-sectional design cannot establish individual-level longitudinal trajectories or prove causal mechanisms for the improvements seen in untreated adults. Changes in dietary intake, physical activity, or unmeasured lifestyle factors across survey waves were not reported in the abstract.

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