Margolis · Demography 2015 · longitudinal cohort study · n=?

Parental Well-being Surrounding First Birth as a Determinant of Further Parity Progression.

Cited 96 times in the scientific literature.

Level 3 - non-randomized controlled study

Longitudinal cohort study graded by design analogy for demographic research.

PubMed 26238935 · doi:10.1007/s13524-015-0413-2 · record verified 2026-08-28

What was done

The authors analyzed longitudinal cohort data from Germany to examine whether changes in subjective well-being during the transition to parenthood predict subsequent parity progression, and whether this relationship varies by parental age and education.

What was found

The abstract reports no numerical values, effect estimates, or confidence intervals. It qualitatively reports that a decline in subjective well-being surrounding the birth of a first child is associated with a decreased probability of having another child, with the strongest association seen in older and higher-educated parents.

Why it matters

This study highlights the subjective experience of initial parenthood as an important factor influencing completed family size in developed countries. It suggests that policies supporting the well-being of new parents could play a role in addressing low fertility rates.

Limits

The abstract provides no sample size, effect sizes, or confidence intervals. The study is observational, based on data from a single country (Germany), and cannot rule out unmeasured confounding or necessarily generalize to settings with different parental leave and childcare policies.

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