· JAMA oncology 2017 · Mendelian randomization study · n=1,513,186 participants across 103 GWAS datasets (420,081 cases and 1,093,105 controls)

Association Between Telomere Length and Risk of Cancer and Non-Neoplastic Diseases: A Mendelian Randomization Study.

Cited 535 times in the scientific literature.

Level 3 - non-randomized controlled study

Mendelian randomization study using summary statistics from published genome-wide association studies.

PubMed 28241208 · doi:10.1001/jamaoncol.2016.5945 · record verified 2026-08-30

What was done

The authors performed a two-sample Mendelian randomization study using summary association statistics from 103 genome-wide association studies (GWAS) published up to January 15, 2015. Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) strongly associated with telomere length in the general population were used as instrumental variables to assess causal relationships with 35 site-specific cancers and 48 non-neoplastic diseases across 420,081 cases and 1,093,105 controls. Odds ratios (ORs) were calculated per 1-standard deviation (SD) increase in genetically predicted telomere length.

What was found

Genetically increased telomere length was associated with higher risk across multiple site-specific cancers, with the largest effects per 1-SD increase observed for glioma (OR 5.27, 95% CI 3.15 to 8.81), serous low-malignant-potential ovarian cancer (OR 4.35, 95% CI 2.39 to 7.94), lung adenocarcinoma (OR 3.19, 95% CI 2.40 to 4.22), neuroblastoma (OR 2.98, 95% CI 1.92 to 4.62), bladder cancer (OR 2.19, 95% CI 1.32 to 3.66), melanoma (OR 1.87, 95% CI 1.55 to 2.26), testicular cancer (OR 1.76, 95% CI 1.02 to 3.04), kidney cancer (OR 1.55, 95% CI 1.08 to 2.23), and endometrial cancer (OR 1.31, 95% CI 1.07 to 1.61). Conversely, genetically longer telomeres were protective against coronary heart disease (OR 0.78, 95% CI 0.67 to 0.90), abdominal aortic aneurysm (OR 0.63, 95% CI 0.49 to 0.81), celiac disease (OR 0.42, 95% CI 0.28 to 0.61), and interstitial lung disease (OR 0.09, 95% CI 0.05 to 0.15), with little evidence of association found for most other non-neoplastic conditions.

Why it matters

This study demonstrates a biological trade-off: genetically longer telomeres appear to increase susceptibility to various malignancies while protecting against specific cardiovascular and fibrotic disorders, clarifying conflicting observational findings prone to reverse causation.

Limits

The analysis depends on the validity of Mendelian randomization assumptions, including the absence of horizontal pleiotropy where instruments affect disease risk through pathways unrelated to telomere length. Summary data were available for only 103 of 163 identified GWAS, and individual-level exposures, non-linear effects, tissue-specific telomere dynamics, and detailed population demographics were not evaluated in the abstract.

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