Winter · The journal of nutrition, health & aging 2017 · meta-analysis of cohort studies · n=8 studies (370,416 participants)

The Influence of Age the BMI and All-Cause Mortality Association: A Meta-Analysis.

Cited 55 times in the scientific literature.

Level 3 - non-randomized controlled study

Meta-analysis of observational cohort studies

PubMed 29188887 · doi:10.1007/s12603-016-0837-4 · record verified 2026-08-27

What was done

Researchers conducted a two-stage random-effects meta-analysis of cohort studies spanning community-dwelling adults aged under 65 and 65 years or older to compare BMI ranges associated with lowest all-cause mortality across age groups.

What was found

The meta-analysis included 8 studies with 370,416 total participants (306,340 aged <65 years and 64,076 aged ≥65 years). In adults aged ≥65 years, mortality risk was elevated at BMI levels below 22 (BMI 21.0–21.9: HR 1.05, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.07), a pattern not observed in younger adults. In adults under 65 years, mortality risk increased starting at BMI 28.0–28.9 (HR 1.13, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.29), while mortality did not increase significantly at BMIs above 23 in older adults.

Why it matters

Standard healthy BMI guidelines (18.5–24.9 kg/m²) may be overly restrictive for older adults, who experience higher mortality at the lower end of that range, suggesting age-specific target BMI thresholds may be warranted.

Limits

The analysis relied on 8 observational cohort studies, which are subject to residual confounding from smoking, pre-existing chronic illness, and unintentional weight loss. Cause-specific mortality, body composition (fat mass versus muscle mass), and baseline health status details were not provided in the abstract.

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