· The Lancet. Global health 2021 · systematic review and meta-analysis · n=?

Causes of blindness and vision impairment in 2020 and trends over 30 years, and prevalence of avoidable blindness in relation to VISION 2020: the Right to Sight: an analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study.

Cited 3152 times in the scientific literature.

Level 1 - systematic review of randomized trials

Systematic review and meta-analysis of population-based prevalence surveys

PubMed 33275949 · doi:10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30489-7 · record verified 2026-08-26

What was done

A systematic review and meta-analysis of population-based eye disease surveys published between January 1980 and October 2018. Hierarchical models were used to estimate prevalence and 30-year trends (1990–2020) of moderate and severe vision impairment (MSVI; visual acuity <6/18 to 3/60) and blindness (<3/60 or visual field <10°) by cause, age, region, and year. The analysis focused on adults aged 50 years and older due to data sparsity at younger ages, assessing progress toward the World Health Assembly target of a 25% reduction in avoidable vision impairment (cataract and undercorrected refractive error) between 2010 and 2019.

What was found

Crude prevalence of avoidable vision impairment and blindness in adults aged 50 and older was essentially unchanged between 2010 and 2019 (percentage change -0.2% [95% UI -1.5 to 1.0]; 2019 prevalence 9.58 cases per 1,000 [95% UI 8.51 to 10.8]; 2010 prevalence 96.0 cases per 1,000 [86.0 to 107.0]). Age-standardised prevalence of avoidable blindness decreased by -15.4% (-16.8 to -14.3), while avoidable MSVI showed no change (0.5% [-0.8 to 1.6]). Total cases grew for both avoidable blindness (10.8% [8.9 to 12.4]) and MSVI (31.5% [30.0 to 33.1]). In 2020, the leading causes of blindness in this age group were cataract (15.2 million cases) and glaucoma (3.6 million); leading causes of MSVI were undercorrected refractive error (86.1 million cases) and cataract (78.8 million cases).

Why it matters

The global target of a 25% reduction in avoidable vision impairment was not met. Although age-standardised avoidable blindness rates decreased, population growth and ageing increased the absolute number of people affected by avoidable blindness and vision impairment.

Limits

The study was restricted to adults aged 50 years and older due to sparse data in younger groups. The abstract does not disclose the exact number of included surveys or participants, and global estimates rely on hierarchical statistical modeling to interpolate data for regions with limited direct surveillance.

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