Crosby · Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco 2025 · Toxicological risk assessment and modeling study · n=?

Unravelling the Risk of Poisoning From Nicotine-Containing Tobacco Products in Children Less Than Five Years of Age.

Cited 6 times in the scientific literature.

Level 5 - mechanism / opinion, no new human data

Toxicological risk assessment and dose modeling based on published literature and product characteristics

PubMed 38484179 · doi:10.1093/ntr/ntae044 · record verified 2026-08-26

What was done

The author used toxicological principles of human health risk assessment, published literature from historical exposures, and tobacco product characteristics to estimate acute oral toxicological risk thresholds and lowest lethal doses (LDLO) for children under five years of age across traditional and electronic nicotine delivery system (ENDS) products.

What was found

Reference levels for non-lethal oral nicotine exposure were estimated at 0.04 mg/kg (dose not likely requiring medical care) and 0.2 mg/kg (dose potentially requiring medical care). The estimated weight-based oral LDLO in children under five was 1–14 mg/kg based on adult data. Depending on liquid nicotine concentration (ranging from 3 to 72 mg/mL), the estimated lethal volume in young children ranged from 13–40 mL for a 3 mg/mL solution down to 0.5–2 mL for a 72 mg/mL solution.

Why it matters

These calculations establish specific volume thresholds for acute toxicity, highlighting that lethal doses can be reached with sub-teaspoon quantities of high-concentration e-liquids in toddlers.

Limits

The dose thresholds are theoretical estimations derived from adult literature rather than direct clinical measurements or controlled prospective data in children. The model cannot account for individual biological variability, spontaneous emesis, or real-world absorption differences.

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