Elffors · Aging (Milan, Italy) 1998 · narrative review · n=?

Are osteoporotic fractures due to osteoporosis? Impacts of a frailty pandemic in an aging world.

Cited 27 times in the scientific literature.

Level 5 - mechanism / opinion, no new human data

Narrative review and expert commentary without systematic methodology

PubMed 9801729 · record verified 2026-08-31

What was done

This narrative review and commentary synthesized epidemiological estimates and clinical concepts regarding osteoporotic fractures (hip, forearm, vertebral), contrasting the direct role of bone loss with the contributing impact of age-dependent frailty and falls, while projecting future global disease burdens.

What was found

The author notes that lifetime risk of osteoporotic fractures in women matches cardiovascular disease risk, and hip fracture mortality equals breast cancer mortality. Annual US direct costs were cited at $7 to $20 billion (over 60% attributable to hip fractures), with osteoporotic patients occupying 1% to 1.5% of hospital beds in Europe. While vertebral fractures were attributed largely to osteoporosis alone, hip fractures were characterized as heavily driven by frailty and falls. Accounting for population frailty, the author projected that annual hip fracture incidence in Asia could exceed 10 million by 2050, compared to prior forecasts of 3.2 million.

Why it matters

It emphasizes that reducing hip fracture incidence requires interventions targeting broader physical frailty, neurological comorbidity, and fall risk rather than focusing solely on bone mineral density.

Limits

The paper is a narrative review and perspective piece without systematic search criteria, meta-analytic pooling, or formal modeling methodologies detailed in the abstract. Projections from 1998 rely on broad demographic assumptions and may not reflect modern trends or interventions.

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