Judith L. Capper · Animals 2012 · Deterministic simulation model · n=?

Is the Grass Always Greener? Comparing the Environmental Impact of Conventional, Natural and Grass-Fed Beef Production Systems

Cited 170 times in the scientific literature.

Level 5 - mechanism / opinion, no new human data

Deterministic simulation and metabolic modeling study (graded by design analogy).

OpenAlex W1965447542 · doi:10.3390/ani2020127 · record verified 2026-08-30

What was done

A deterministic model based on beef cattle metabolism and nutrient requirements was used to quantify resource inputs and waste outputs per 1.0 × 10⁸ kg of hot carcass weight beef. The study compared conventional (CON), natural (NAT), and grass-fed (GFD) production systems using management practices, population dynamics, and production data representative of U.S. beef systems.

What was found

Due to higher slaughter weights and growth rates, the CON system required 56.3% of the cattle population, 24.8% of the water, 55.3% of the land, and 71.4% of the fossil fuel energy compared to the GFD system to produce 1.0 × 10⁸ kg of beef. Carbon footprint per 1.0 × 10⁸ kg of beef was lowest in the CON system (15,989 × 10³ t), intermediate in the NAT system (18,772 × 10³ t), and highest in the GFD system (26,785 × 10³ t).

Why it matters

This analysis indicates that increased animal productivity in conventional feedlot-finished beef reduces the overall herd size and per-unit resource use and greenhouse gas emissions relative to pasture-based systems.

Limits

The analysis relies entirely on deterministic modeling rather than direct field measurements. It does not account for regional variability, potential soil carbon sequestration in well-managed pastures, biodiversity outcomes, or nutritional differences in the final meat product.

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