Jonas Fluchtmann · OECD social employment and migration working papers 2023 · multi-country panel data study · n=26 countries

Fertility, employment and family policy

Cited 105 times in the scientific literature.

Level 3 - non-randomized controlled study

Level 3 by design analogy (macro-level longitudinal panel data analysis; non-clinical).

OpenAlex W4386930557 · doi:10.1787/326844f0-en · record verified 2026-08-28

What was done

The authors used panel data econometric models across 26 OECD countries spanning 2002 to 2019 to evaluate associations between fertility trends (including total fertility rates and maternal age at childbirth) and variations in male and female labour market conditions and family policies (such as parental leave and early childhood education and care).

What was found

The abstract reports directional demographic trajectories but provides no specific regression coefficients, effect sizes, or p-values. Maternal age at childbirth increased continuously throughout 2002–2019. Total fertility rates initially rebounded, peaked in 2008, and declined substantially thereafter, with these fluctuations linked to changes in employment and family support policies.

Why it matters

Understanding how work conditions and state family supports correspond to post-2008 fertility declines helps inform demographic and economic policies across high-income nations.

Limits

The abstract lacks numerical results, confidence intervals, and effect estimates. The study relies on aggregate observational panel data across 26 countries, limiting causal inference and potentially obscuring individual-level socioeconomic heterogeneity.

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