Between 83% and 86% of American adults are either prediabetic or diabetic.
"When we see that, you know, some 83 to 86% of American adults now is either pre-diabetic or diabetic, it's hard to imagine that we should therefore consider that to be pretty much normal." (said at 0:26:26)
The speaker appears to have conflated overall cardiometabolic unhealthiness (frequently cited as ~88% of American adults not meeting optimal criteria across blood glucose, blood pressure, lipids, and adiposity) with the specific prevalence of prediabetes and diabetes. Based on National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) data, approximately 14% to 16% of US adults have diabetes (diagnosed or undiagnosed) and approximately 30% to 38% have prediabetes, combining for roughly 45% to 50% of US adults, not 83% to 86%.
- context: Prevalence of Optimal Metabolic Health in American Adults: National Health and Nutrition E… (Metabolic syndrome and related disorders 2019)
"Changing from ATP III (Adult Treatment Panel III) guidelines to more recent cut points decreased the proportion of metabolically healthy Americans from 19.9% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 18.3-21.5) to 12.2% (95% CI: 10.9-13.6)." (abstract, results, passage verified)
pubmedfull study (doi) - contradicts: Trends in Prevalence of Diabetes, Pre-Diabetes, and Cardiometabolic Risk Factor Control Am… (Diabetes, obesity & metabolism 2026)
"Among 24 230 participants across all survey years, 6773 had pre-diabetes, and 4784 had diabetes (3826 diagnosed/958 undiagnosed). The age-adjusted prevalence of total diabetes was stable across the study period: 14.6% (95% CI 13.0%-16.2%) in 2013-2014 and 16.3% (14.6%-18.0%) in 2021-2023... The age-adjusted prevalence of pre-diabetes increased significantly during the study period from 26.4% (23.7%-29.1%) in 2013-2014 to 30.7% (28.4%-33.0%) in 2021-2023" (abstract, results, passage verified)
pubmedfull study (doi)