Macken Murphy
University of Melbourne
Macken Murphy is an evolutionary biologist, writer, and podcaster associated with the University of Melbourne. His published research focuses on partner preferences regarding resources and economic inequality, lay evolutionary hypotheses within the manosphere, and incels' attitudes and experiences surrounding psychotherapy and mental health interventions.
21 claims checked on air: 1 context 2 contradicted 10 supported 8 unverified
What they said on air - supported
For couples trying to conceive, cumulative fertility is approximately 85% after one year and rises into the 90s after two years.
"it's like 85% fertility for a couple for one year, then it jumps up to in the 90s after two years." (said at 0:32:00)
Published epidemiological and clinical data consistently demonstrate that among couples having regular intercourse and attempting to conceive, cumulative pregnancy rates reach approximately 80% to 85% (and up to ~90% with timed intercourse) after 12 months (one year). Of those who do not conceive in the first year, approximately half conceive in the second year, raising the cumulative pregnancy rate above 90% after two years.
- supports: Time to pregnancy: results of the German prospective study and impact on the management of… (Human reproduction (Oxford, England) 2003) · cited 462x in the literature
"Estimated CPC for the total group (n = 340 women) at one, three, six and 12 cycle(s) were 38, 68, 81 and 92% respectively." (abstract, results, passage verified)
pubmedfull study (doi) - supports: Optimising the management of patients with infertility. (The Practitioner 2013) · cited 11x in the literature
"More than 80% of couples will conceive within one year if the woman is aged under 40 and they have regular sexual intercourse. Of those who fail to conceive in the first year, around half will do so in the second year, giving a cumulative pregnancy rate > 90%." (abstract, results, passage verified)
pubmed
Across seven major cross-cultural studies, five found an association between gender inequality and mate preferences for resources, all found age gap preferences decrease with lower gender inequality, and beauty preferences showed no change.
"There's been seven really, really big ones, and those have generally found that, I mean, in five out of the seven have found something there with regards to mate preferences for resources and gender inequality. All of the ones that checked age found that when gender inequality is lower, age mate preferences and age gaps get smaller. And then the beauty basically doesn't move." (said at 0:35:53)
Cross-cultural research on mate preferences across nations with varying levels of gender equality aligns with the speaker's summary. Major large-scale cross-cultural studies (e.g., reanalyses of Buss 1989 by Eagly & Wood 1999, Zentner & Mitura 2012, and replication efforts such as Walter et al. 2020 across 45 countries) have consistently found that as national gender equality increases, preferred age differences between partners shrink. In contrast, sex differences in preferences for physical attractiveness/beauty remain relatively stable and do not consistently attenuate with increasing gender equality, while findings regarding preferences for financial resources/earning capacity show mixed or moderate reductions in sex differences across datasets.
- supports: Stepping out of the caveman's shadow: nations' gender gap predicts degree of sex different… (Psychological science 2012) · cited 149x in the literature
"Both studies show that gender differences in mate preferences with presumed evolutionary roots decline proportionally to increases in nations' gender parity." (abstract, results, passage verified)
pubmedfull study (doi) - supports: Sex Differences in Mate Preferences Across 45 Countries: A Large-Scale Replication. (Psychological science 2020) · cited 341x in the literature
"Support for universal sex differences in preferences remains robust: Men, more than women, prefer attractive, young mates, and women, more than men, prefer older mates with financial prospects. Cross-culturally, both sexes have mates closer to their own ages as gender equality increases. Beyond age of partner, neither pathogen prevalence nor gender equality robustly predicted sex differences or preferences across countries." (abstract, results, passage verified)
pubmedfull study (doi)
When men are primed with scarcity, such as acute hunger, poverty, or local famine, their preferences shift toward larger women.
"when men are primed with scarcity, such as when they're hungry or when they're acutely poor or whether when there's local famine, they shift to preferring larger women" (said at 0:45:12)
Experimental and cross-cultural studies support the claim. In laboratory experiments manipulating situational resource scarcity (e.g., operationalized via acute hunger or financial dissatisfaction), men who were hungry or primed with financial scarcity preferred female figures with higher body weight and rated heavier women as more attractive compared to satiated or financially secure men.
- supports: The symptoms of resource scarcity: judgments of food and finances influence preferences fo… (Psychological science 2005) · cited 206x in the literature
"In four studies (N=1,176), we explored the possibility that this cross-cultural relationship emerges at the individual level; that is, we investigated whether situational feelings of resource scarcity predict personal preferences within a single culture. We operationalized intraindividual resource scarcity through feelings of financial and caloric dissatisfaction. Accordingly, we hypothesized-and found-that men who feel either poor or hungry prefer heavier women than men who feel rich or full." (abstract, results, passage verified)
pubmedfull study (doi) - supports: Does hunger influence judgments of female physical attractiveness? (British journal of psychology (London, England : 1953) 2006) · cited 93x in the literature
"Using this revised methodology, we found that operationalized intra-individual resource scarcity affects preferences for body weight: 30 hungry male participants preferred figures with a higher body weight and rated as more attractive heavier figures than 31 satiated male participants." (abstract, results, passage verified)
pubmedfull study (doi)
Acute starvation causes women to become infertile.
"also we know that when women are acutely starving, they become infertile, right?" (said at 0:48:14)
Acute starvation or severe low energy availability suppresses the hypothalamic-pituitary-ovarian (HPO) axis in women. In response to severe energy deficits or starvation, the body downregulates gonadotropin-releasing hormone (GnRH) pulsatility and luteinizing hormone secretion, leading to anovulation and functional hypothalamic amenorrhea (infertility) as a reversible energy-conserving adaptation.
- supports: Endocrine complications of anorexia nervosa. (Journal of eating disorders 2023) · cited 57x in the literature
"An important component in the treatment of anorexia nervosa (AN) is the evaluation and management of its endocrine complications, including functional hypogonadotropic hypogonadism and increased fracture risk. The body's adaptive response to chronic starvation results in many endocrine abnormalities, most of which are reversible upon weight restoration." (abstract, background, passage verified)
pubmedfull study (doi) - supports: Short-Term Severe Low Energy Availability in Athletes: Molecular Mechanisms, Endocrine Res… (Scandinavian journal of medicine & science in sports 2025) · cited 17x in the literature
"Short-term severe LEA triggers energy-conserving responses, leading to disruption in several crucial physiological systems, including suppression of the hypothalamic-pituitary-ovarian axis, decrease in triiodothyronine and insulin-like growth factor I hormones, reduction in resting metabolic rate, and comprised protein turnover in collagen-rich tissues. If these detrimental effects of short-term severe LEA are not reversed, they can progress to long-term problematic LEA, resulting in hypothalamic amenorrhea" (abstract, results, passage verified)
pubmedfull study (doi)
Studies comparing men entering versus exiting a dining hall found that hungry men show a small shift toward preferring heavier women.
"Like I believe the dining hall study, for example, which has been replicated, it is pretty cool, where it's men going into a dining hall versus coming out... It was a small shift. Like it wasn't like they were preferring completely different-looking women." (said at 0:49:40)
Published experimental and field studies support the claim. Nelson and Morrison (2005) originally demonstrated that hungry men entering versus exiting a dining hall showed a preference for heavier romantic partners. Swami and Tovée (2006) successfully replicated these findings by testing male college students before and after entering a dining hall, demonstrating that hungry men rated heavier female body figures as significantly more attractive and shifted toward a preference for higher body weight compared to satiated men.
In certain cultures, such as in Mauritania, women before marriage undergo intentional fattening practices by restricting movement and increasing caloric intake to enhance attractiveness.
"this is something that's seen in some cultures where women before marriage will restrict their movement and increase their caloric intake uh in order to... I think it was Mauritania but I'm not sure where it was them talking about how and I really realized like oh this is a beauty preference like this this is real." (said at 0:51:10)
Documented demographic and anthropological research confirms that intentional fattening practices (traditionally termed gavage or leblouh) have been practiced in Mauritania and certain other West African societies. In these traditions, girls and premarital women are subjected to increased caloric intake and reduced physical activity to achieve larger body sizes, which are culturally associated with wealth, social status, and female beauty standards for marriage. Nationally representative survey data from Mauritania indicate that roughly a quarter of surveyed women reported having experienced force-feeding during youth.
Higher-income women have stronger overall mate preferences across multiple traits, including physical attractiveness, compared to lower-income women.
"richer women have stronger mate preferences in general. Like in Koyama's research, in Lu's research, they want hotter guys, too." (said at 0:58:16)
Evolutionary psychology literature demonstrates that women with higher socioeconomic resources or who are experimentally primed to feel wealthier exhibit elevated mate preferences across multiple traits, including an increased preference for and approach tendency toward physically attractive partners. For example, experimental work by Lu and colleagues found that both men and women primed to feel financially abundant exhibited a greater behavioral approach tendency toward attractive members of the opposite sex. Furthermore, cross-sectional survey research shows that as female resource control increases, women place greater value on physical attractiveness relative to financial prospects, eliminating traditional sex differences in attractiveness valuation.
Paul Eastwick's speed dating research shows that in romantic evaluations, women care more about looks and men care more about resources than stated on surveys, resulting in virtually no sex differences in revealed mate preferences.
"but when you measure it through speed dating or through how these stated preferences predict romantic evaluations of partners, well, then women care a lot more about looks than they say, and men care a little more about resources than they say, such that there's essentially no sex difference." (said at 1:05:43)
Paul Eastwick and colleagues demonstrated that while traditional sex differences emerge in self-reported or hypothetical mate preference surveys (with men stating a stronger preference for physical attractiveness and women for earning prospects), these differences disappear when evaluating actual, live romantic partners. In speed-dating and longitudinal paradigms, as well as in a subsequent meta-analysis of 97 studies, physical attractiveness and earning prospects predicted romantic evaluations to an equivalent extent for both men and women, showing essentially no significant sex differences in revealed preferences.
Men have tripled their time spent on parenting effort since the 1970s.
"on the men's side, we see that men have tripled their parenting effort since the 1970s." (said at 1:22:54)
Nationally representative time-diary studies tracking parental time investment demonstrate a substantial increase in fathers' childcare time since the mid-1960s and 1970s. Historical time-use survey data across industrialized nations indicate that while mothers continue to perform the majority of childcare, fathers' direct engagement in childcare activities has roughly tripled (rising from approximately 2.5 hours per week in 1965 to around 7 to 8 hours per week in recent decades), narrowing the gender gap in parental time investment.
- supports: Are Parents Investing Less Time in Children? Trends in Selected Industrialized Countries (Population and Development Review 2004) · cited 420x in the literature
"Trends in parental time invested in children since the 1960s are examined in 16 industrialized countries using time‐use survey data. Despite the time pressures that confront today's families, parents appear to be devoting more time to children than they did 40 years ago. Results also suggest that mothers continue to devote more time to childcare than fathers, but the gender gap has been reduced. The consistency of these results across countries suggests a global trend toward an increase in parental time investment in children." (abstract, results, passage verified)
openalexfull study (doi) - supports: Beyond childcare: Changes in the amount and types of parent‐child time over three decades (Canadian Review of Sociology/Revue canadienne de sociologie 2021) · cited 19x in the literature
"Parents' time with children has increased over the past several decades, according to many scholars. Yet, research predominantly focuses on childcare activities, overlooking the majority of time that parents spend with children. Using time diaries from the 1986-2015 Canadian General Social Survey, we examine trends in the quantity and distribution of parents' childcare time and total co-present time in the company of children, as well as the behavioral or compositional drivers of these trends. Co-present time with children increased sharply since the mid-1980s, by 1 hour per day for fathers and 1.5 hours for mothers." (abstract, results, passage verified)
openalexfull study (doi)
In Marta Kowal's beautification study, among individuals who wear makeup, men who wear makeup spend more time applying it than women do.
"And there was one other behavior, this is so counterintuitive, where among the people who did it, men actually did this behavior more. So think about different beautification behaviors. I won't bore you by making you guess, but it was makeup. Um, among people who wear makeup, the men who wear makeup spend way more time on it than the women." (said at 1:29:23)
In Marta Kowal and colleagues' cross-national research on appearance enhancement (including their large 45-country study published in Evolution and Human Behavior and related work in IJERPH), women overall spend more time applying makeup and cosmetics across the general population. However, when evaluating the specific sub-population of individuals who actively report wearing makeup, men who wear makeup report spending more time per application than women who wear makeup. In broader population samples examining sex differences in physical attractiveness investments, overall beauty investment time between men and women was comparable, with women spending more time on cosmetics and men spending more time on fitness and bodybuilding.
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